In the fast-moving oleochemical market, profitability hinges on smart feedstock procurement. This September, the economic landscape presents a clear and compelling choice for oleic acid producers weighing the benefits of Crude Palm Oil (CPO) against Palm Kernel Oil (PKO).

Navigating these nuanced market shifts is crucial for maintaining a competitive edge. At Tradeasia International, we specialize in providing the market intelligence and procurement solutions that turn these complex data points into actionable strategies, ensuring our partners are always positioned for success.

Beyond the Surface: Analyzing the True Cost of Production

The decision starts with headline prices, where a significant gap has emerged. CPO futures are currently trading at a competitive $945 per metric ton (MT), while PKO prices have climbed to $1,120/MT. This creates a notable spread of $175/MT that has widened by over 15% in the past two months alone. However, the most astute producers look beyond the initial price to the effective cost per unit of yield. As our internal analysis consistently shows, focusing on the landed cost per unit of fatty acid, rather than just the raw material price, is what separates the most successful operations. CPO’s high oleic acid content of 38-42% means the feedstock cost to produce one ton of oleic acid is approximately $2,362. In stark contrast, PKO’s lower yield of 15-19% balloons its effective cost to over $6,500 per ton.

Supply Signals: What Production Figures Are Telling Us

This economic disparity is reinforced by current supply-side fundamentals. Recent data from the Malaysian Palm Oil Board (MPOB) confirmed a 3% month-over-month increase in CPO output, easing supply concerns and stabilizing prices. PKO production, however, has not kept pace, contributing to its sustained high cost. As commentary from industry experts confirms, this environment is compelling manufacturers to favor CPO. For procurement managers mapping out their Q4 strategy, the data this month points overwhelmingly in one direction: CPO offers the most stable and cost-effective pathway for oleic acid production.

 

Sources:

  1. Reuters -  VEGOILS-Palm oil falls for second day on weaker rival oils, stronger ringgit

  2. Malaysian Palm Oil Board (MPOB) -  Summary of the Malaysian Palm Oil Industry 2025

  3. Oleochemicals Asia - Asia’s Oleochemicals Market Faces Pressure from Feedstock Volatility